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Guotai Junan: It is expected that the lithium price will fluctuate in the bottom range in 2025, and there is a strong opportunity and space for rebound. Guotai Junan Securities recently reported that the lithium price has entered the bottom range by the end of 2024. If the demand maintains the current neutral estimate in 2025, the lithium price will fluctuate in the bottom range. At present, the market is optimistic about the demand in 2025, and the industry supply has slowed down. It is estimated that the price trend of lithium will fluctuate in the bottom range in 2025, in which the stage is affected by seasonal factors and there is a strong rebound opportunity and space. The market expected the trading of lithium plate earlier, that is, when the commodity price bottomed out, the lithium plate already contained the expectation of industrial clearing. When the industry actually enters the stage of supply and clearing, the sector will trade commodity price reversal expectations. From this, we infer that the rise of lithium plate will start before the spot price reverses.Thirteen companies disclosed the progress of repurchase, among which Green Energy Huichong and Ruike had the highest amount of laser repurchase plans. On December 13th, a total of 13 companies issued announcements on stock repurchase. Among them, two companies disclosed the stock repurchase plan for the first time, four companies disclosed the progress of the implementation of stock repurchase, and seven companies have completed the implementation of the repurchase plan. Judging from the initial disclosure of the repurchase plan, Green Energy Huichong and Ruike Laser have the highest amount of repurchase plans, with the planned repurchase not exceeding 1.115 million yuan and 487,900 yuan respectively. Judging from the implementation progress of repurchase, Yuanli Technology, Jiuli Special Materials and Jack have the highest share repurchase amounts, with 33.1077 million yuan, 30.9807 million yuan and 3.2323 million yuan respectively. Judging from the completed repurchase, a total of one company repurchased more than 10 million on that day. Aerospace Rainbow, Aerospace Rainbow and Guanshi Technology have completed the highest repurchase amount, with 33.2989 million yuan, 2.479 million yuan and 2.1642 million yuan respectively.Fang Yi, Chief Strategy Officer of Guotai Junan: The conditions of "transformation cattle" in China stock market are forming four themes, focusing on mergers and acquisitions and self-control. Fang Yi, Chief Analyst of Guotai Junan Strategy, said at the main forum of Guotai Junan 2025 investment strategy that the bottom of China stock market has appeared, and the conditions of "transformation cattle" are forming; The key driving force of the market comes from the decline of risk-free interest rate and the boost of risk preference, and the economic expectation is expected to be revised up in 2025H2; The mid-line of the stock market is expected to get out of the N-rhythm. Theme recommendation: merger and reorganization/self-control/humanoid robot/self-consumption. 1) M&A and reorganization: the regulatory tolerance of cross-border M&A and acquisition of unprofitable assets has been improved, and we are optimistic about the traditional industry leaders who are the main enterprises of science and technology chain and benefit from the optimization of industry structure; 2) Self-control: global science and technology supply chain reconstruction, optimistic about the improvement of localization rate of advanced semiconductors/basic software; 3) Humanoid robot: mass production and application scenario expansion are accelerated, and key components such as dexterous hands/actuators are optimistic; 4) Self-satisfaction consumption: demographic changes have given birth to new consumption patterns, and we are optimistic about the high growth of secondary consumption/pet consumption.

Li Tie's case was pronounced in the first instance today. The Procuratorate of Xianning City, Hubei Province accused Li Tie of five crimes, including bribery, bribery by the unit, bribery by non-state staff and bribery of non-state staff. It is understood that today, the court will make a first-instance judgment on this case. At present, the police car escorting Li Tie has entered the Xianning Intermediate People's Court. (CCTV News)On the tariffs proposed by the Trump administration, Costco executives said that the company had faced tariffs in the past and believed that its businesses had the ability to cope with this situation.Chip-concentrated stocks clustered in four major industries, and 43 stocks fell for more than three consecutive periods. According to the statistics of Securities Times and DataBao, as of December 12, 300 stocks disclosed the number of shareholders in the latest period, compared with the previous period (November 30), there were 162 stocks with a decrease in the number of shareholders. Specifically, the number of shareholders in 29 stocks decreased by more than 5%, and the number of shareholders in 5 stocks decreased by more than 10%, including Dongfang Huanyu, Zhongshe, Baina Qiancheng, Midland New Materials and Hengshuai. Many chip-concentrated stocks have performed well in the recent market. According to the statistics of DataBao, the average share capital of 126 chips has increased by 4.86% since last month, and the cumulative increase of 18 stocks is above 10%. The top gainers are Guoan Da, Beiwei Technology and Silk Road Vision, which have increased by 42.5%, 26.18% and 21.44% respectively. From the industry point of view, the number of chip concentrated stocks is the largest in the four major industries of mechanical equipment, power equipment, electronics, medicine and biology.

Foreign media: BRICS countries lead global economic growth in 2024. On the 13th, Reference News published a report on the website of Brazil's Tribune magazine that "BRICS countries lead GDP growth in 2024 and surpass rich countries". The summary of the report is as follows: In 2024, the BRICS countries are expected to lead the global economic growth, leaving the richest countries behind. It is estimated that India's economy is expected to grow by 7% this year, and China, the second largest economy in the world, is also expected to achieve the economic growth target of around 5%. For other members of the group, the growth figures are also positive, such as Russia (3.6%) and Brazil (3%). These growth rates exceed those of the United States (2.8%), South Korea (2.5%) and the European Union represented by Spain (2.9%).Many places support housing consumption in the form of issuing housing subsidies. Recently, many places have taken the form of issuing housing subsidies and optimizing housing provident fund policies to support housing consumption and release housing demand. For example, recently, the General Office of the Government of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region issued "Measures for Promoting the Stable and Healthy Development of the Real Estate Market in Guangxi", which mentioned that "optimizing the housing provident fund policy" and "financial subsidies support the reasonable demand for housing purchase". Shanxi Datong, Hubei Xiangyang, Hubei Xianning and other places have also recently launched relevant measures to support residents' rigid and improved housing demand and boost the real estate market. Zhang Bo, dean of 58 Anjuke Research Institute, said in an interview that the role of promoting housing consumption in "stabilizing the property market" is expected to continue to increase, and more policies will be introduced in the future to help stabilize the property market. (Securities Daily)Zou Lan, Director of the Monetary Policy Department of the Central Bank: A moderately loose monetary policy orientation has enhanced the coping capacity and space of monetary policy. The Central Economic Work Conference that ended yesterday released a series of positive signals. The relevant person in charge of the Monetary Policy Department of the People's Bank of China said that the Central Economic Work Conference changed the orientation of monetary policy from "moderate" to "moderately loose" next year, and made it clear that more active and promising macro policies would be implemented, highlighting the determination of policies to promote economic recovery. Zou Lan, director of the Monetary Policy Department of the People's Bank of China, said that the implementation of moderately loose monetary policy is also the embodiment of countercyclical adjustment. At present, the adverse effects brought by changes in the external environment have deepened, and China's economic operation still faces many difficulties and challenges. The moderately loose monetary policy orientation has enhanced the ability and space for monetary policy to cope. (CCTV News)